Greetings from NeuroDimension!

The World Leader in Neural Network Software

 

This issue of the NeuroDimension newsletter highlights a new feature of NeuroSolutions 4.0 and the upcoming neural network course.

 

In this issue you’ll find:

 

What’s New and News?

  *  Deadline Approaching for Neural Network Course Discount

  *  New Structure for NeuroSolutions University Site License

 

Designing Neural Networks

  *  Conjugate Gradient Learning

 

Customer Spotlight

  *  Stream Flow Prediction

 

Note: You are receiving this newsletter because you requested to stay informed concerning new developments at NeuroDimension. If you would like to stop receiving these newsletters, please see the bottom of this newsletter for removal instructions.

 

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What’s New and News?

 

Deadline Approaching for Neural Network Course Discount

 

The deadline for an early registration discount is approaching soon for our May neural network courses in Orlando, Florida. The courses will take place May 7-11, 2001 at the Grosvenor Resort, located in the Walt Disney World Resort. The deadline to qualify for a 10% discount is April 1st. This session is filling up fast, so be sure to register today!

 

Our course format allows both novice and advanced users to find a suitable course. Offered courses include: "Introduction to NeuroSolutions", "Fundamentals of Neural Networks and NeuroSolutions", and "Advanced NeuroSolutions". In addition, each of the courses includes updates on the new features of NeuroSolutions 4.0, geared towards each level of user.

 

The courses include a copy of our interactive book, Neural and Adaptive Systems: Fundamentals Through Simulations. We are also happy to work with attendees who would like to use their own data in the sample projects.

 

For details on this new offering, or to sign-up from the Internet, see http://www.nd.com/course/may_2001.htm 

For general ND course information, see http://www.nd.com/course 

 

For more information and samples of the interactive book, see http://www.nd.com/products/nsbook.htm

 

New Structure for NeuroSolutions University Site License

 

Many of our academic customers have found the University Site License a cost-effective way to utilize NeuroSolutions on multiple computers. Previously, the unlimited student installations allowed by the site license were restricted to the Educator level of the software. We have recently restructured our University Site License so that now the student installations can be at the Educator, Users, Consultants or Developers Lite level. The new Site License price list can be found at:

http://www.nd.com/univsite.htm

 

Existing educational customers may apply their original purchase price towards an upgrade to one of these new site license options. An upgrade price quote can be obtained by emailing to sales@nd.com. Note that this site license pricing is not available to corporations.

 

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Designing Neural Networks

This Issue: Conjugate Gradient Learning

 

A new feature of NeuroSolutions 4.0 is conjugate gradient learning. NeuroSolutions uses the Scaled Conjugate Gradient implementation of this learning technique. Second order learning methods (like Newton’s method) use not only the slope of the performance surface but also the curvature to adjust the weights. As an example of the power of second order methods, it is known that linear systems always have a quadratic performance surface. Second order methods can reach the bottom of a quadratic performance surface in one step. Second order methods, however, are computationally very expensive. Conjugate gradient is an approximate second order method that is an excellent trade-off between computational complexity and increased learning speed. In general, a conjugate gradient training epoch in NS will take twice as long as a standard gradient descent training epoch. The conjugate gradient method, however, will typically train in much fewer epochs and also move to a lower final MSE. Another significant advantage of scaled conjugate gradient learning is that it is parameterless.  No need to set learning rates or momentum terms. It automatically determines the “best” step size at each iteration.

 

Conjugate gradient in NeuroSolutions, however, must be used in batch mode. As we discussed in our August ‘99 newsletter, there are circumstances where batch learning does not work as well as on-line. In particular, with data sets larger than 500-1000 samples on-line learning may train much faster. In these cases, often times on-line learning with momentum or some other standard learning algorithm may outperform conjugate gradient learning.

 

In NeuroSolutions, the “BackStaticControl” component (red dials) controls the error calculations and gradient descent learning. On the “BackStaticControl” Inspector, on the “Backpropagation” page, there are three radio buttons labeled “on-line”, “batch”, and “custom”. These selections determine how much time is spent calculating the gradient before the weights of the system are updated  (see August ‘99 for more detail). In addition to controlling the on-line vs. batch mode of learning, there is a panel on the right of the “Backpropagation” page that controls the gradient search method (it is labeled “plane” and says “gradient search” inside the box). To switch to conjugate gradient learning (or any other method), click the “remove” button to remove the existing backpropagation plane, then select the new gradient search method (e.g. conjugate gradient) in the pull-down box and click “add”.  This will set-up the breadboard to use conjugate gradient learning.

 

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Customer Spotlight

This Issue: Stream Flow Prediction

Bernard B. Hsieh, USAE R&D Center

 

Abstract

A stream flow prediction system is developed by the Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) for addressing the flood forecasting issues of two different scale watersheds: the Sava River, Croatia and a segment of the lower Mississippi River. The study investigated the prediction system with single-point river stage, upstream-downstream river flow forecasting, and rainfall-runoff hydrological process. The study indicated that the minimum length of river stages required achieving about 90 percent of up to 3 days forecasting reliability was about 3 months for the Sava River. The reasonable downstream river flow prediction from upper stream gauges was found in the Sava River even only half year daily values were available for model training.  On the Mississippi River, with 16 years long-term daily information, the ANN can construct a very high precision river flow forecasting system for Memphis, TN, from two upstream inputs, near the confluence of the Ohio River, without significant rainfall contribution in this river segment.

 

Complete Summary Available

This is just an abstract of the application summary. The entire summary is available at:

http://www.nd.com/application%20summaries/appsum-predict.htm

 

Spotlight Your Solutions

Want to have your solutions spotlighted? We strongly encourage our customers to send their 1-2 page application summaries to submissions@nd.com so that we may post them on our web site at: http://www.nd.com/applicationsum.htm. In selected newsletters, we’ll spotlight a new solution and include a link for people to get more information.

 

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Comments or Suggestions?

 

We appreciate your feedback! Please send us your comments or suggestions concerning this newsletter, our web site, or part of the NeuroDimension product line. Write to us at: feedback@nd.com

 

Have questions about NeuroDimension products or training services? Send your questions to: info@nd.com

 

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